Do the Golden Globes still matter? We’re about to find out when the 2023 Golden Globes return to television on Tuesday night. After the HFPA was criticized for its lack of diversity within the organization, much of Hollywood boycotted the ceremony entirely in 2022, including NBC, when they declined to air the show. In 2023, the Globes return to NBC on a new night with a new host, Jerrod Carmichael.
Once again, do the Globes matter? Did last year’s ceremony influence the Oscars? 11 of the 14 winners at the Golden Globes went on to win at the Oscars, so as much as people want to say the Globes don’t matter, the data doesn’t reflect that sentiment. Will the HFPA’s restructuring affect which types of movies get rewarded? We’ll soon find out.
Below are predictions for who should win and who will win at the 2023 Golden Globes.
2023 Golden Globes – FILM
BEST MOTION PICTURE — DRAMA
- Avatar: The Way of Water
- Elvis
- The Fabelmans
- Tár
- Top Gun: Maverick
Who Should Win: Top Gun: Maverick. From reigniting the box office to being a kickass movie, Maverick was the MVP of 2022.
Who Will Win: The Fabelmans. I truly believe that flopping at the box office crushed its Oscar chances. However, voters will still reward Steven Spielberg’s coming-of-age drama with the top prize of the night.
BEST MOTION PICTURE — MUSICAL or COMEDY
- Babylon
- The Banshees of Inisherin
- Everything Everywhere All at Once
- Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery
- Triangle of Sadness
Who Should Win: Everything Everywhere All at Once. EEAAO can win the damn Oscar, and that’s exciting news. However, Banshees received the most nominations of the night, so I think that wins.
Who Will Win: The Banshees of Inisherin
BEST ACTOR — DRAMA
- Austin Butler – Elvis
- Brendan Fraser – The Whale
- Hugh Jackman – The Son
- Bill Nighy – Living
- Jeremy Pope – The Inspection
Who Should Win: Brendan Fraser – The Whale. Will the HFPA award Fraser best actor, an award he deserves to win, despite Fraser alleging that a high-ranking HFPA member sexually assaulted him? I don’t know. Fraser will not be in attendance on Tuesday night.
Who Will Win: Austin Butler. Hollywood is desperate to crown the next movie star. Butler became a movie star in Elvis.
BEST ACTRESS – DRAMA
- Cate Blanchett – Tár
- Olivia Colman – Empire of Light
- Viola Davis – The Woman King
- Ana de Armas – Blonde
- Michelle Williams – The Fabelmans
Who Should Win and Who Will Win: Cate Blanchett – Tár. Some people think Lydia Tár is a real person. Cate Blanchett is an icon.
BEST ACTOR – COMEDY/MUSICAL
- Diego Calva – Babylon
- Daniel Craig – Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery
- Adam Driver – White Noise
- Colin Farrell – The Banshees of Inisherin
- Ralph Fiennes – The Menu
Who Should Win and Who Will Win: Colin Farrell – The Banshees of Inisherin
BEST ACTRESS – COMEDY/MUSICAL
- Lesley Manville – Mrs. Harris Goes to Paris
- Margot Robbie – Babylon
- Anya Taylor-Joy – The Menu
- Emma Thompson – Good Luck to You, Leo Grande
- Michelle Yeoh – Everything Everywhere All at Once
Who Should And Will Win: Michelle Yeoh – Everything Everywhere All at Once
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
- Brendan Gleeson – The Banshees of Inisherin
- Barry Keoghan – The Banshees of Inisherin
- Brad Pitt – Babylon
- Ke Huy Quan – Everything Everywhere All at Once
- Eddie Redmayne – The Good Nurse
Who Should Win: Barry Keoghan – The Banshees of Inisherin. One of the most versatile actors working today.
Who Will Win: Ke Huy Quan – Everything Everywhere All at Once. The Comeback Story of the Year.
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
- Angela Bassett – Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
- Kerry Condon – The Banshees of Inisherin
- Jamie Lee Curtis – Everything Everywhere All at Once
- Dolly de Leon – Triangle of Sadness
- Carey Mulligan – She Said
Who Should Win: Kerry Condon – The Banshees of Inisherin. Stacey Ehrmantraut finally brings some hardware home for Better Call Saul fans. Condon is going to win the Oscar in this category. She’s that good.
Who Will Win: Jamie Lee Curtis – Everything Everywhere All at Once. I hope Curtis wears hot dog hands to accept the award.
BEST DIRECTOR
- James Cameron – Avatar: The Way of Water
- Daniel Kwan and Daniel Scheinert – Everything Everywhere All at Once
- Baz Luhrmann – Elvis
- Martin McDonagh – The Banshees of Inisherin
- Steven Spielberg – The Fabelmans
Who Should Win: James Cameron – Avatar: The Way of Water. Big Jim still has his 99mph fastball. The Way of Water is a technical achievement and then some.
Who Will Win: Steven Spielberg – The Fabelmans. That Spielberg guy can still direct, ay.
BEST SCREENPLAY
- Todd Field – Tár
- Daniel Kwan and Daniel Scheinert – Everything Everywhere All at Once
- Martin McDonagh – The Banshees of Inisherin
- Sarah Polley – Women Talking
- Steven Spielberg and Tony Kushner – The Fabelmans
Who Should Win: Daniel Kwan and Daniel Scheinert – Everything Everywhere All at Once. The Daniels wrote the most original story of the last five years.
Who Will Win: Martin McDonagh – The Banshees of Inisherin. This man is an icon for writing a movie about the death of male friendship.
BEST ORIGINAL SONG
- “Carolina” (Taylor Swift) – Where the Crawdads Sing
- “Ciao Papa” (Alexandre Desplat, Roeban Katz, and Guillermo del Toro) – Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio
- “Hold My Hand” (Lady Gaga, BloodPop, and Benjamin Rice) – Top Gun: Maverick
- “Lift Me Up” (Tems, Rihanna, Ryan Coogler, and Ludwig Göransson) – Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
- “Naatu Naatu” (M. M. Keeravani, Kaala Bhairava, and Rahul Sipligunj) – RRR
Who Should Win: No idea. These songs are OK. No standouts, unfortunately.
Who Will Win: “Hold My Hand” (Lady Gaga, BloodPop, and Benjamin Rice) – Top Gun: Maverick. Gaga is the safe pick.
BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
- Carter Burwell – The Banshees of Inisherin
- Alexandre Desplat – Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio
- Hildur Guðnadóttir – Women Talking
- Justin Hurwitz – Babylon
- John Williams – The Fabelmans
Who Should Win: Where the fuck is Michael Giacchino’s score for The Batman?
Who Will Win: John Williams – The Fabelmans
BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM
- All Quiet on the Western Front (Germany)
- Argentina, 1985 (Argentina)
- Close (Belgium)
- Decision to Leave (South Korea)
- RRR (India)
Who Should Win: I could see All Quiet on the Western Front, Decision to Leave, and RRR winning this award.
Who Will Win: All Quiet on the Western Front (Germany). RRR is the favorite, but I’m going with the upset as All Quiet starts its campaign to sneak into Best Picture at the Oscars with a win at the Globes.
BEST ANIMATED FEATURE
- Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio
- Inu-Oh
- Marcel the Shell with Shoes On
- Puss in Boots: The Last Wish
- Turning Red
Who Should Win: Puss in Boots: The Last Wish. I love this damn cat.
Who Will Win: Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio. Netflix will be going all out for GDT to win the Oscar in this category. The campaign will receive a boost with this win.
2023 Golden Globes – TELEVISION
BEST TELEVISION SERIES — DRAMA
- Better Call Saul
- The Crown
- House of the Dragon
- Ozark
- Severance
Who Should Win: Severance. The best show of 2022 with the best episode of 2022 deserves to win best drama.
Who Will Win: House of the Dragon. The Globes loves buzz, and no show had more of it than House of the Dragon.
BEST TELEVISION SERIES — MUSICAL or COMEDY
- Abbott Elementary
- The Bear
- Hacks
- Only Murders in the Building
- Wednesday
Who Should Win: The Bear. Episode 7 should be the featured clip when The Bear is mentioned in this category.
Who Will Win: Abbott Elementary. The best network show on television brings home Best Comedy.
BEST TELEVISION LIMITED SERIES OR TV MOVIE
- Black Bird
- Dahmer – Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story
- The Dropout
- Pam & Tommy
- The White Lotus
Who Should Win and Who Will Win: The White Lotus. HIT THE MUSIC!
LEAD ACTOR IN A TELEVISION DRAMA
- Jeff Bridges – The Old Man
- Kevin Costner – Yellowstone
- Diego Luna – Andor
- Bob Odenkirk – Better Call Saul
- Adam Scott – Severance
Who Should Win: Bob Odenkirk – Better Call Saul. Bob Odenkirk has never been rewarded at the major awards shows for his performance as Saul Goodman. Why should I trust these voting bodies to do the right thing now?
Who Will Win: Jeff Bridges – The Old Man. Legendary star giving a movie star performance. This is the definition of a Golden Globe winner.
LEAD ACTRESS IN A TELEVISION DRAMA
- Emma D’Arcy – House of the Dragon
- Laura Linney – Ozark
- Imelda Staunton – The Crown
- Hilary Swank – Alaska Daily
- Zendaya – Euphoria
Who Should Win: Emma D’Arcy – House of the Dragon. Behind Paddy Considine, D’Arcy is in the running for the second-best performer on the show.
Who Will Win: Zendaya – Euphoria. Season 2 Episode 5. Yup, that’s the one.
LEAD ACTOR IN A TELEVISION COMEDY
- Donald Glover – Atlanta
- Bill Hader – Barry
- Steve Martin – Only Murders in the Building
- Martin Short – Only Murders in the Building
- Jeremy Allen White – The Bear
Who Should Win and Who Will Win: Jeremy Allen White – The Bear. Yes, chef!
LEAD ACTRESS IN A TELEVISION COMEDY
- Quinta Brunson – Abbott Elementary
- Kaley Cuoco – The Flight Attendant
- Selena Gomez – Only Murders in the Building
- Jenna Ortega – Wednesday
- Jean Smart – Hacks
Who Should Win and Who Will Win: Quinta Brunson – Abbott Elementary. Here’s to Quinta making TV shows for a long time.
LEAD ACTOR IN A MINISERIES OR TELEVISION FILM
- Taron Egerton – Black Bird
- Colin Firth – The Staircase
- Andrew Garfield – Under the Banner of Heaven
- Evan Peters – Dahmer – Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story
- Sebastian Stan – Pam & Tommy
Who Should Win: Taron Egerton – Black Bird. Taron Egerton is making fascinating choices in his career. I am here for it. He’s excellent in Black Bird.
Who Will Win: Evan Peters – Dahmer – Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story. Evan Peters is a fantastic actor. However, did Tiktok help win this award?
LEAD ACTRESS IN A MINISERIES OR TELEVISION FILM
- Jessica Chastain – George & Tammy
- Julia Garner – Inventing Anna
- Lily James – Pam & Tommy
- Julia Roberts – Gaslit
- Amanda Seyfried – The Dropout
Who Should And Will Win: Amanda Seyfried – The Dropout
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR IN A COMEDY/MUSICAL/DRAMA
- John Lithgow – The Old Man
- Jonathan Pryce – The Crown
- John Turturro – Severance
- Tyler James Williams – Abbott Elementary
- Henry Winkler – Barry
Who Should Win: John Turturro – Severance. Just let him hang out with Burt. Is that too much to ask?
Who Will Win: Tyler James Williams – Abbott Elementary. If you think it’s Abbott’s night, Tyler James Williams walks away with the prize.
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS IN A COMEDY/MUSICAL/DRAMA
- Elizabeth Debicki – The Crown
- Hannah Einbinder – Hacks
- Julia Garner – Ozark
- Janelle James – Abbott Elementary
- Sheryl Lee Ralph – Abbott Elementary
Who Should Win: Sheryl Lee Ralph – Abbott Elementary. Ralph’s speech at the Emmys >>>. I would let Ralph have a 60-minute acceptance speech.
Who Will Win: Julia Garner – Ozark. Garner has three Emmy wins in this category but zero Golden Globes. That changes tonight.
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR IN A LIMITED SERIES/ANTHOLOGY/TV MOVIE
- F. Murray Abraham – The White Lotus
- Domhnall Gleeson – The Patient
- Paul Walter Hauser – Black Bird
- Richard Jenkins – Dahmer – Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story
- Seth Rogen – Pam & Tommy
Who Should Win: Paul Walter Hauser – Black Bird. The best performance of Hauser’s career.
Who Will Win: F. Murray Abraham – The White Lotus. The Achilles Cock.
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS IN A LIMITED SERIES/ANTHOLOGY/TV MOVIE
- Jennifer Coolidge – The White Lotus
- Claire Danes – Fleishman Is in Trouble
- Daisy Edgar-Jones – Under the Banner of Heaven
- Niecy Nash – Dahmer – Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story
- Aubrey Plaza – The White Lotus
Who Should Win: Aubrey Plaza – The White Lotus. Between The White Lotus and Emily the Criminal, Plaza had a fantastic 2022.
Who Will Win: Jennifer Coolidge – The White Lotus.
Who do you believe should win at the Golden Globes? Leave your thoughts in the comments below or tweet us, at @unafraidshow.