2022 Emmys Predictions: Who Should Win And Who Will Win?

Mark S and the rest of the team stand together in a scene from Severance

Be honest. Did you know that the 2022 Emmys are tonight? My guess is no because you’re coming off of a 48-hour football binge which included some pizza, beer, and a dramatic plea for Justin Herbert to throw to Mike Williams.

Ok, that’s just me.

Anyways, television continues to operate at a ridiculously-high level. TV is on a three-year heater where multiple new shows come out of nowhere to dominate pop culture. Severance, Squid Game, Yellowjackets, Abbott Elementary, The White Lotus, and Only Murders in the Building are all first-year shows that had their own moment to shine, which is saying something considering how fast the Internet moves.

It’s competitive as ever this year so once again, I am here to gift you with some predictions. May B̶o̶b̶ ̶a̶n̶d̶ ̶R̶h̶e̶a̶ the best nominees win.

Outstanding Drama Series

  • Better Call Saul (AMC)
  • Euphoria (HBO/HBO Max)
  • Ozark (Netflix)
  • Severance (Apple TV+)
  • Squid Game (Netflix)
  • Stranger Things (Netflix)
  • Succession (HBO/HBO Max)
  • Yellowjackets (Showtime)

You could make cases for Better Call Saul, Severance, Squid Game, Succession, and Yellowjackets. Severance is my favorite new show of the year, and the finale is the best episode of the year—however, good luck dethroning Succession, which also had a tremendous ending.

  • Who Should Win: Severance
  • Who Will Win: Succession

Outstanding Lead Actor in a Drama Series

  • Jason Bateman – Ozark 
  • Brian Cox – Succession 
  • Lee Jung-jae – Squid Game 
  • Bob Odenkirk – Better Call Saul 
  • Adam Scott – Severance 
  • Jeremy Strong – Succession 

Did you know that Better Call Saul has zero (0) Emmy wins? Frankly, that’s a crime. I tend to think the Emmy voters will reward Odenkirk at next year’s ceremony, but there’s no time like the present. It’s Bob’s time.

  • Who Should Win: Bob Odenkirk – Better Call Saul, but every nominee is worthy of this award.
  • Who Will Win: Bob Odenkirk – Better Call Saul 

Outstanding Lead Actress in a Drama Series

  • Jodie Comer – Killing Eve 
  • Laura Linney – Ozark 
  • Melanie Lynskey – Yellowjackets
  • Sandra Oh – Killing Eve 
  • Reese Witherspoon – The Morning Show
  • Zendaya – Euphoria 

Any other year, Melanie Lynskey would be walking away with this award. However, Euphoria’s fifth episode, “Stand Still Like the Hummingbird,” is Zendaya’s crowning achievement in her young career.

  • Who Should Win: Zendaya – Euphoria 
  • Who Will Win: Zendaya – Euphoria 

Outstanding Supporting Actor in a Drama Series

  • Nicholas Braun – Succession 
  • Billy Crudup – The Morning Show 
  • Kieran Culkin – Succession
  • Matthew Macfadyen – Succession 
  • O Yeong-su – Squid Game 
  • Park Hae-soo – Squid Game 
  • John Turturro – Severance
  • Christopher Walken – Severance 
  • Who Should Win: Kieran Culkin – Succession
  • Who Will Win: Kieran Culkin – Succession

Outstanding Supporting Actress in a Drama Series

  • Patricia Arquette – Severance 
  • Julia Garner – Ozark 
  • HoYeon Jung – Squid Game 
  • Christina Ricci – Yellowjackets 
  • Rhea Seehorn – Better Call Saul
  • J. Smith-Cameron – Succession
  • Sarah Snook – Succession 
  • Sydney Sweeney – Euphoria 

[Takes a deep breath. Exhales. Screams.] RHEA SEEHORN. Since it took this long to give Rhea a nomination, I don’t see the Emmys awarding Rhea with the hardware that she deserves. I pray I’m wrong, but when in doubt, pick someone from Succession.

  • Who Should Win: Rhea Seehorn – Better Call Saul
  • Who Will Win: Sarah Snook – Succession

Outstanding Comedy Series

  • Abbott Elementary (ABC)
  • Barry (HBO/HBO Max)
  • Curb Your Enthusiasm (HBO/HBO Max)
  • Hacks (HBO/HBO Max)
  • The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel (Prime Video)
  • Only Murders in the Building (Hulu)
  • Ted Lasso (Apple TV+)
  • What We Do in the Shadows (FX)

This category is extremely difficult to predict. Only Murders in the Building and Abbott Elementary are looking to crash the party with strong first seasons. In a perfect world, this award goes to Barry, one of the most impressive shows on television. (Though, it may not be a comedy anymore.) But, I’ll stick with Ted Lasso as it continues to Emmy dominance.

  • Who Should Win: Barry (HBO/HBO Max)
  • Who Will Win: Ted Lasso (Apple TV+)

Outstanding Lead Actor in a Comedy Series

  • Donald Glover – Atlanta 
  • Bill Hader – Barry 
  • Nicholas Hoult – The Great 
  • Steve Martin – Only Murders in the Building 
  • Martin Short – Only Murders in the Building 
  • Jason Sudeikis – Ted Lasso 

If Jason Sudeikis wins in this category again, Ted Lasso is winning Outstanding Comedy Series. This award should go to Bill Hader, and if he wins, it will be three for three in Lead Actor as Barry Berkman.

  • Who Should Win: Bill Hader – Barry 
  • Who Will Win: Bill Hader – Barry 

Outstanding Lead Actress in a Comedy Series

  • Rachel Brosnahan – The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel 
  • Quinta Brunson – Abbott Elementary 
  • Kaley Cuoco – The Flight Attendant
  • Elle Fanning – The Great 
  • Issa Rae – Insecure 
  • Jean Smart – Hacks 

Quinta Brunson has a lot of support for her excellent work in Abbot Elementary, but the Emmys love Jean Smart even more. (Rightfully so. Jean Smart is awesome.)

  • Who Should Win: Quinta Brunson – Abbott Elementary 
  • Who Will Win: Jean Smart – Hacks 

Outstanding Supporting Actor in a Comedy Series

  • Anthony Carrigan – Barry 
  • Brett Goldstein – Ted Lasso 
  • Toheeb Jimoh – Ted Lasso 
  • Nick Mohammed – Ted Lasso 
  • Tony Shalhoub – The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel 
  • Tyler James Williams – Abbott Elementary 
  • Henry Winkler – Barry 
  • Bowen Yang – Saturday Night Live 

It should be Hank, but Roy Kent will win again.

  • Who Should Win: Anthony Carrigan – Barry 
  • Who Will Win: Brett Goldstein – Ted Lasso 

Outstanding Supporting Actress in a Comedy Series

  • Alex Borstein – The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel 
  • Hannah Einbinder – Hacks 
  • Janelle James – Abbott Elementary 
  • Kate McKinnon – Saturday Night Live 
  • Sarah Niles – Ted Lasso 
  • Sheryl Lee Ralph – Abbott Elementary 
  • Juno Temple – Ted Lasso 
  • Hannah Waddingham – Ted Lasso 

I’m not even changing the picture from last year’s predictions. It’s Hannah Waddingham for the win. However, watch out for Kate McKinnon getting the award as the “cherry on top” of her SNL career.

Ted Lasso / Apple TV+
  • Who Should Win: Hannah Waddingham – Ted Lasso 
  • Who Will Win: Hannah Waddingham – Ted Lasso 

Outstanding Limited Series

  • Dopesick (Hulu)
  • The Dropout (Hulu)
  • Inventing Anna (Netflix)
  • Pam & Tommy (Hulu)
  • The White Lotus (HBO/HBO Max)

The toughest category of the night. While preparing for this article, Dopesick was my original selection. After much thought, I’m going with The White Lotus since it will win in a few acting categories.

  • Who Should Win: Dopesick (Hulu)
  • Who Will Win: The White Lotus (HBO/HBO Max)

Outstanding Lead Actor in a Limited Series or Movie

  • Colin Firth – The Staircase 
  • Andrew Garfield – Under the Banner of Heaven 
  • Oscar Isaac – Scenes from a Marriage 
  • Michael Keaton – Dopesick 
  • Himesh Patel – Station Eleven 
  • Sebastian Stan – Pam & Tommy 

Not many people watched Under the Banner of Heaven, but I really dug Andrew Garfield’s performance. It was weird, raw, and emotional. He might be the best working actor in Hollywood. However, I have no problem with Michael Keaton winning the Emmy.

  • Who Should Win: Andrew Garfield – Under the Banner of Heaven 
  • Who Will Win: Michael Keaton – Dopesick 

Outstanding Lead Actress in a Limited Series or Movie

  • Toni Collette – The Staircase 
  • Julia Garner – Inventing Anna 
  • Lily James – Pam & Tommy 
  • Sarah Paulson – Impeachment: American Crime Story 
  • Margaret Qualley – Maid 
  • Amanda Seyfried – The Dropout 

Out of all the acting nominees, Margaret Qualley in Maid gave one of my five favorite performances. What hurts Qualley’s chances is Maid came out nearly one year ago. Amanda Seyfriend’s Elizabeth Holmes was better than Elizabeth Holmes herself.

  • Who Should Win: Margaret Qualley – Maid 
  • Who Will Win: Amanda Seyfried – The Dropout 

Outstanding Supporting Actor in a Limited Series or Movie

  • Murray Bartlett – The White Lotus 
  • Jake Lacy – The White Lotus 
  • Will Poulter – Dopesick 
  • Seth Rogen – Pam & Tommy 
  • Peter Sarsgaard – Dopesick 
  • Michael Stuhlbarg – Dopesick 
  • Steve Zahn – The White Lotus 
  • Who Should Win: Murray Bartlett – The White Lotus
  • Who Will Win: Murray Bartlett – The White Lotus 

Outstanding Supporting Actress in a Limited Series or Movie

  • Connie Britton – The White Lotus 
  • Jennifer Coolidge – The White Lotus 
  • Alexandra Daddario – The White Lotus 
  • Kaitlyn Dever – Dopesick 
  • Natasha Rothwell – The White Lotus 
  • Sydney Sweeney – The White Lotus 
  • Mare Winningham – Dopesick

The White Lotus dominance continues.

  • Who Should Win: Kaitlyn Dever – Dopesick 
  • Who Will Win: Jennifer Coolidge – The White Lotus 

What are your predictions for the Emmys? Leave your thoughts in the comments below or tweet us, @unafraidshow.

Succession Finale: Thoughts From Someone Who Watched S3 In Two Days

Succession / HBO

Hand up, I was late to Succession.

Super late, actually.

I watched the first four episodes of Season 1 almost two years ago and walked away thinking it was just OK. The story of the show intrigued me, but I didn’t get a “must-watch” feeling like I immediately felt with Breaking Bad or Game of Thrones.

This past Fall, I decided to give the show another chance. I found that it drastically improved in the back half of Season 1, finding its stride in the final two episodes of the season. I completed Season 2 one week ago, and it blew me out of the water. A tremendous season headlined by an all-time performance from Jeremy Strong as Kendall. He brought so much nuance to a smug character that should be so unlikeable, but Strong had me rooting for Ken by the end of the season.

Fast forward to Friday afternoon when I finished the first episode of Season 3. I had an important life-or-death decision to make. Do I complete seven more episodes to watch the finale on time or go at my own pace and risk spoilers?

A weaker man might have gone at their own pace, but I’m a (mentally) tough specimen. I binged the rest of the season over the next two days and made it in time for the finale.

Who better to give immediate thoughts about the finale than someone with every detail of Season 3 still fresh in his mind?

SPOILER ALERT. STOP READING IF YOU HAVEN’T SEEN THE FINALE.

– It was only a matter of time before the Roy siblings teamed up to face their father. Up until now, Kendall was the only child who went against his father and failed. Shiv made small moves against Logan when he refused to publicly name her CEO (suggesting Logan steps down in “Argestes”) while Roman never went against his father. But once Roman and Shiv showed compassion towards Kendall, the wheels for a team-up were in motion.

– Speaking of Kendall, that entire scene on the dirt road where Kendall confessed to the murder was an acting clinic from Jeremy Strong. The actor has been in the news all week because of the profile in the New Yorker. Frankly, I walked away from the piece thinking that Strong was a genius, not difficult to work with. Episodes like tonight prove that there’s a method to the madness.

– In that same piece, Strong stated how he treats the life and death stakes of Kendall as seriously as he takes his own life. Kendall’s confession to Roman and Shiv perfectly illustrates the debate over Succession‘s genre. Is it a tragedy or is it a comedy? Kendall is pouring his heart out, looking for forgiveness and sympathy for anyone who will listen. He’s hit rock bottom, and desperately needs a life preserver (or pool float) to save him from drowning. And yet all Roman can do is brush it off with humor, saying things like “we’ve all killed a kid, no big deal!” Shiv even supports Roman’s dark humor, saying that they’ve all killed before, too. At this moment, Shiv and Roman are incapable of human decency and compassion because they’ve never felt what it’s like to feel powerless like Kendall. The Roy family name is a suit of armor so there are no life and death stakes like Kendall has faced time and time again.

– Brian fucking Cox!

– The final scene. Holy shit was that terrific to watch. This was the Shakespearean tragedy playing out in real-time. Kendall, Shiv, and Roman were left out of the GoJo negotiations so they decide to finally join forces to take down Logan. They spend the car ride getting their affairs in order, confirming the legality of the clause they prepare to invoke on their father. Logan and Caroline’s divorce agreement granted the children a vote over any change in company control so if Logan sold Waystar RoyCo and gave control to Lukas Matsson, Logan would need a supermajority vote to make it official. The children can invoke the clause to form an opposing majority to stop the deal.

Once again, Logan was three steps ahead of his children. Logan tried to explain why selling the company to GoJo would be good for the children because they can go out and earn their own worth, but they insist on invoking the clause. It turns out he renegotiated the divorce settlement with Caroline to remove the clause, making the Roy children powerless.

Everything about this scene was perfect. Logan always wins (which I’ll talk about later as well) and he will stop at nothing to make sure he comes out victorious even if it means going against his kids. The entire season was one long explanation as to why the Roy children are not ready to become the new face of WayStar. As Logan repeatedly says, he needs a killer. Shiv embarrassed her father time and time again with her words, highlighted by the deal with Sandy and Stewie where she compromised much more than Logan would ever consider. Roman made some key introductions especially with GoJo, but sending the dick pic to Gerri proved he was too immature to be CEO. Kendall is the only one to ever get a semi-nod of approval from Logan thanks to his powerplay at the end of Season 2, but his addictions and mental health make him an unreliable successor to the throne. It shouldn’t come as a surprise to the children that Logan made his own deal. He only trusts himself so the kids were naive to think he would ever consider their opinion.

Roman and Shiv finally experienced what it’s like to get the shitty end of the stick. Roman confessed his love to his Dad and Logan returned the favor by calling him a moron. A moron! A desperate Roman tried to plead to Gerri, but she knows that Logan holds the keys to her future and therefore can’t help her friend. The puppy dog eyes broke me if we’re being honest.

For Kendall, he already knows what it feels like to have nothing so, therefore, why beg for anything? He can’t beat his dad alone and now, he learned it’s tough to beat him with numbers on your side. All Kendall could do was console his siblings since Roman and Shiv can finally empathize with their older brother after the shared experiences of being fucked over by their father.

– Then there’s Shiv, who was a villain lurking in the shadows but stepped into the evil spotlight last week with her threat to Gerri. Shiv thought she could have it all. CEO of Waystar, an obedient husband, power, money, etc. It turns out she’s just as naive and inexperienced as her brothers. Her own husband knew this, too, so it’s time to talk about the man, the myth, the midwest legend himself, Tom Wambsgans.

THE HEEL TURN FROM TOM!

Jesse Armstrong you sneaky bastard! Tom FINALLY took a stand and did something for himself. Shiv deserves all the hate in the world for how she treats Tom. From requesting an open marriage on their wedding night to the meanest dirty talk ever recorded, it’s clear that Shiv married Tom so she could feel like the man of the family, the one who holds all of the power. Shiv doesn’t care about Tom. She proved that many times this season. Tom was most likely going to prison and she couldn’t give two shits.

https://twitter.com/shivyroys/status/1467695763438272515?s=20

Tom may look like a doofus, but he understands the one thing the Roy children refuse to accept; Logan always wins. If you side with Logan, he’ll be your best ally. If you go against Logan, he’ll gut you like a pig. Tom literally told this to Kendall at the diner. It’s why Tom offered himself up as the one to fall on the sword for the company. Tom understands that Logan appreciates loyalty so when the company learned no one would go to prison, Logan went out of his way to tell Tom that he’d always remember his sacrifice.

Tom was done riding Shiv’s coattails. It was time to get in the game and cash in his ticket. He alerted Logan of the coup, and Logan will return the favor in the form of power and positing within the company. Neuro and Sporus. Chef’s kiss on the payoff.

I could talk forever about this finale so I’ll try to wrap it up. Tom, Greg, Gerri, and Logan all realize that actions have consequences. They’ve all come from small beginnings. Nothing was handed to them. They can’t afford to take a loss because if they lose, it’s over. It’s why they naturally will side with the winning side aka Logan, and they’ll do whatever it takes to stay in the game.

Kendall, Roman, and Shiv never had to take huge risks because they could always fall back on their inheritance and family name. Kendall learned the hard way about what it’s like to go against the family and now Roman and Shiv got their slices of humble pie. Do you know what happens when Logan leaves you behind? You become Connor Roy, and the blowout from Connor at the beginning of the episode was another example of beautiful foreshadowing. Connor knows to stay on his Dad’s good side because once you cross him, it’s over. Connor knows what it feels like to be passed over for new blood, and if Logan’s maca root and almond butter smoothies work, the remaining Roy siblings will be passed over, too.

Remember, betrayals are always sealed with a kiss.

https://twitter.com/lmpa1983/status/1470251095985254400?s=20

I can’t wait for Season 4. Jesse Armstrong has now crafted three perfect season finales. He pushed all his chips into the center in each finale, and the payouts were huge. Here’s to King Greg!

What are your thoughts on the Succession finale? Leave your thoughts in the comments below or tweet us, @unafraidshow.